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Nigeria and Italy Divergences in Coronavirus Experience: Impact of Population Density.
尼日利亚和意大利冠状病毒经验的差异: 人口密度的影响。
- 影响因子:1.72
- DOI:10.1155/2020/8923036
- 作者列表:"Amoo EO","Adekeye O","Olawole-Isaac A","Fasina F","Adekola PO","Samuel GW","Akanbi MA","Oladosun M","Azuh DE
- 发表时间:2020-05-21
Abstract
Background:The reports and information on coronavirus are not conspicuously emphasising the possible impact of population density on the explanation of difference in rapid spread and fatality due to the disease and not much has been done on bicountry comparisons. Objective:The study examined the impact of population density on the spread of COVID-19 pandemic in two sociodemographic divergent countries. Methods:The study conducted a scoping review of published and unpublished articles including blogs on incidences and fatalities of COVID-19. The analysis followed qualitative description and quantitative presentation of the findings using only frequency distribution, percentages, and graphs. Results:The two countries shared similar experience of "importation" of COVID-19, but while different states ordered partial lockdown in Nigeria, it was an immediate total lockdown in Italy. The physician/patient ratio is high in Italy (1 : 328) but low in Nigeria (1 : 2500), while population density is 221 in Nigeria and 206 in Italy. Daily change in incidence rate reduced to below 20% after 51 and 30 days of COVID-19 first incidence in Italy and Nigeria, respectively. Fatality rate has plummeted to below 10% after the 66th day in Italy but has not been stabilised in Nigeria. Conclusion:The authors upheld both governments' recommending measures that tilted towards personal hand-hygienic practices and social distancing. Authors suggested that if Italy with its high physician/patient ratio and lower population density compared to Nigeria could suffer high fatality from COVID-19 pandemic under four weeks, then Nigeria with its low physician/patient ratio and higher population density should prepare to face harder time if the pandemic persists.
摘要
背景: 关于冠状病毒的报告和信息没有明显强调人口密度对解释该病快速传播和死亡差异的可能影响,在双国家比较方面也没有做多少工作。 目的: 本研究考察了人口密度对两个社会人口差异国家新型冠状病毒肺炎大流行传播的影响。 方法: 该研究对已发表和未发表的文章进行了范围回顾,包括关于新型冠状病毒肺炎发生率和死亡的博客。分析遵循仅使用频率分布、百分比和图表对结果进行定性描述和定量呈现。 结果: 两国在 “进口” 新型冠状病毒肺炎方面有着相似的经验,但尽管尼日利亚不同州下令部分封锁,但意大利立即全面封锁。意大利的医生/病人比率很高 (1: 328),但尼日利亚的医生/病人比率很低 (1: 2500),而尼日利亚的人口密度为 22 1,意大利为 206。意大利和尼日利亚首次发病 51 天和 30 天后,发病率的日变化分别降至新型冠状病毒肺炎 20% 以下。意大利的死亡率在 10% 天后骤降至以下,但尼日利亚的死亡率尚未稳定。 结论: 作者支持两国政府建议的偏向个人手卫生习惯和社会疏远的措施。作者建议,如果意大利与尼日利亚相比,其高医患比率和较低的人口密度,那么在四周内可能会遭受新型冠状病毒肺炎大流行的高死亡率。那么尼日利亚的医生/病人比率低,人口密度高,如果大流行持续下去,应该准备面对更困难的时期。
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METHODS::Since mid-December of 2019, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection has been spreading from Wuhan, China. The confirmed COVID-19 patients in South Korea are those who came from or visited China. As secondary transmissions have occurred and the speed of transmission is accelerating, there are rising concerns about community infections. The 54-year old male is the third patient diagnosed with COVID-19 infection in Korea. He is a worker for a clothing business and had mild respiratory symptoms and intermittent fever in the beginning of hospitalization, and pneumonia symptoms on chest computerized tomography scan on day 6 of admission. This patient caused one case of secondary transmission and three cases of tertiary transmission. Hereby, we report the clinical findings of the index patient who was the first to cause tertiary transmission outside China. Interestingly, after lopinavir/ritonavir (Kaletra, AbbVie) was administered, β-coronavirus viral loads significantly decreased and no or little coronavirus titers were observed.
METHODS::In December 2019, a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) caused an outbreak in Wuhan, China, and soon spread to other parts of the world. It was believed that 2019-nCoV was transmitted through respiratory tract and then induced pneumonia, thus molecular diagnosis based on oral swabs was used for confirmation of this disease. Likewise, patient will be released upon two times of negative detection from oral swabs. However, many coronaviruses can also be transmitted through oral-fecal route by infecting intestines. Whether 2019-nCoV infected patients also carry virus in other organs like intestine need to be tested. We conducted investigation on patients in a local hospital who were infected with this virus. We found the presence of 2019-nCoV in anal swabs and blood as well, and more anal swab positives than oral swab positives in a later stage of infection, suggesting shedding and thereby transmitted through oral-fecal route. We also showed serology test can improve detection positive rate thus should be used in future epidemiology. Our report provides a cautionary warning that 2019-nCoV may be shed through multiple routes.
METHODS::There is a current worldwide outbreak of a new type of coronavirus (2019-nCoV), which originated from Wuhan in China and has now spread to 17 other countries. Governments are under increased pressure to stop the outbreak spiraling into a global health emergency. At this stage, preparedness, transparency, and sharing of information are crucial to risk assessments and beginning outbreak control activities. This information should include reports from outbreak sites and from laboratories supporting the investigation. This paper aggregates and consolidates the virology, epidemiology, clinical management strategies from both English and Chinese literature, official news channels, and other official government documents. In addition, by fitting the number of infections with a single-term exponential model, we report that the infection is spreading at an exponential rate, with a doubling period of 1.8 days.
呼吸道感染分为上呼吸道感染与下呼吸道感染。上呼吸道感染是指自鼻腔至喉部之间的急性炎症的总称,是最常见的感染性疾病。下呼吸道感染是最常见的感染性疾患,治疗时必须明确引起感染的病原体以选择有效的抗生素。